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China military warns of confrontation over seas

By Chris Buckley - Reuters

BEIJING (Reuters) -
China's military warned the United States on Saturday that
U.S.-Philippine military exercises have raised risks of armed
confrontation over the disputed South China Sea in the toughest
high-level warning yet after weeks of tensions.

China's official Liberation
Army Daily warned that recent jostling with the Philippines over
disputed seas where both countries have sent ships could boil over into
outright conflict, and laid much of the blame at Washington's door.

This week American and
Filipino troops launched a fortnight of annual naval drills amid the
stand-off between Beijing and Manila, who have accused each other of
encroaching on sovereign seas near the Scarborough Shoal, west of a
former U.S. navy base at Subic Bay.

The joint exercises are held
in different seas around the Philippines; the leg that takes place in
the South China Sea area starts on Monday.

"Anyone with clear eyes saw
long ago that behind these drills is reflected a mentality that will
lead the South China Sea issue down a fork in the road towards military
confrontation and resolution through armed force," said the commentary
in the Chinese paper, which is the chief mouthpiece of the People's
Liberation Army.

"Through this kind of
meddling and intervention, the United States will only stir up the
entire South China Sea situation towards increasing chaos, and this will
inevitably have a massive impact on regional peace and stability."

Up to now, China has chided the Philippines over the dispute
about the uninhabited shoal known in the Philippines as the Panatag
Shoal and which China calls Huangyan, about 124 nautical miles off the
main Philippine island of Luzon.

China has territorial disputes with the Philippines, Vietnam,
Brunei, Malaysia and Taiwan across the South China Sea, which could be
rich in oil and gas and is spanned by busy shipping lanes.

Major General Luo Yuan, a retired PLA researcher well-known for
his hawkish views, amplified the warnings from Beijing issued through
state media.

"China has already shown enough restraint and patience over this
incident," Luo said of the friction with Manila, according to an
interview published on Chinese state television's website
(http://news.cntv.cn).

If the Philippines "takes irrational actions, then the current
confrontation could intensify, and the Chinese navy will certainly not
stand idly by," he added.

REGIONAL TENSIONS

Beijing has sought to resolve
the disputes one-on-one with the countries involved but there is worry
among its neighbors over what some see as growing Chinese assertiveness
in staking claims over the seas and various islands, reefs and shoals.

In past patches of tension
over disputed seas, hawkish Chinese military voices have also risen,
only to be later reined in by the government. The same could be true
this time.

Since late 2010, China has
sought to cool tensions with the United States. Especially with the
ruling Chinese Party preoccupied with a leadership succession late in
2012, Beijing has stressed hopes for steady relations throughout this
year.

Nonetheless, experts have
said that China remains wary of U.S. military intentions across the
Asia-Pacific, especially in the wake of the Obama administration's vows
to "pivot" to the region, reinvigorating diplomatic and security ties
with allies.

The Liberation Army Daily commentary echoed that wariness.

"The United States' intention
of trying to draw more countries into stirring up the situation in the
South China Sea is being brandished to the full," said the newspaper.

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