New Map Reveals Places Most Vulnerable to Climate Change

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New Map Reveals Places Most Vulnerable to Climate Change

Post by Climate Brink on Wed Mar 26, 2014 10:34 pm

Here is the latest modelling courtesy of the Weather Channel showing where the climate will remain intact and stable. In the USA it appears Applachia and parts of the Northwest will fare the best. With the "Polar Vortex" we already know the Northeast and Upper Midwest are experiencing mega winter storms of epic proportion. Look into small sustainable cities like Ashville, NC, Boone, NC, Missoula Montana, Park City, UT or some areas in the western cascade foothills of Oregon/Washington look pretty good. Don't forget to factor liveability, wages, jobs and freedom in the state you are considering a move to.



Link:

http://www.weather.com/news/science/environment/new-map-reveals-places-most-vulnerable-climate-change-20130918


Terrestrial global distribution of ecoregional climate stability and vegetation intactness

Source Mapping vulnerability and conservation adaptation strategies under climate change


  • James E. M. Watson,
  • Takuya Iwamura
  • & Nathalie Butt




Map A: Terrestrial global distribution of ecoregional climate stability. Map B: standard deviation distribution of ecoregional climate stability. Map C: and vegetation intactness. The darker colors represent more intact ecoregions. Climate stability was defined as a measure of how much of an ecoregion will remain suitable (that is, climatic conditions will remain within present parameters) for the species and ecosystems it contains at present It is therefore a relative scale. The darker colours represent more relatively stable climates (that is, regions more suitable for existing ecosystems). The climate stability shown here is the average over the results from the seven GCMs. The standard deviation allows for an assessment of agreement between the seven GCMs. Light blue colours indicate high agreement between the seven GCMs used and darker blue colours indicate less agreement. Vegetation intactness was calculated using the GlobCover 300 data set. The proportion of areas where native vegetation has been transformed through agricultural development and urbanization in each ecoregion was determined and a measure of vegetation intactness of the ecoregion was calculated. This is a conservative measure of intactness as it does not take into account vegetation degradation. As the data were not normal they have been transformed to a normal distribution by taking the square root values. As resolution is a problem with global maps, we have provided the same maps at the continental scale.



Appalachia population density map. Appalachia offers a climate refuge or buffer against climate change due to the vast forest canopy.

Global warming doesn’t mean it will never snow. But it does mean there will be more extreme snowstorms. Any time there’s a big snowstorm, someone scoffs, “Global warming?! Yeah, right!” There are a few problems with that. First: It confuses a short-term, local event with the long-term trend that the planet is getting warmer. But here’s another fact that might surprise you. Even though the total amount of snow has declined in parts of the world over recent decades, there have been an increasing number of very heavy storms. That’s because a warmer climate increases evaporation, drawing moisture both from the oceans and the land. When that increased atmospheric moisture feeds into a storm, it can make the storm really, really big. The result: less snow overall as temperatures increase, but more extreme snowstorms.



Best Places to Survive Climate Change


Reprint (modified from original) - Original post by: https://www.blogger.com/profile/05835743253778155141

BASICS - Food, Water and Economic Stability
1st world nations that have wealth - Europe, U.S.A. You'll have some semblance of security during chaotic economic shifts and social order breakdowns.

OTHER CONSIDERATIONS
- Health-care, employment, personal safety. In the event dramatic shifts in the climate causing extreme poverty and chaos among the third world; terrorism and violence among city states and even our own communities will become prevalent.

RELOCATION RECOMMENDATIONS

  1. Avoid shorelines, arid climates, and extreme cold - seek temperate climates like Appalachia, the Western Cascade foothills or the Big Island of Hawaii

  2. Avoid large and medium population centers.
  3. Consider rural environments and even prepare as in a community/survivalist mentality with a local agrarian community,  a 6 month supply of dry goods and access to potable water.
  4. Maintain basic supplies, medicines, tools, firearms, ammo, and become self-sufficient as much as possible in energy, water, and food.


GEOGRAPHIC CONSIDERATIONS

Rural regions in central Europe and U.S.A. avoid lower latitudes (tropics) due to infectious disease migration of insects carrying malaria, Dengue fever and the like.


IMMINENT CLIMATIC SHIFT WARNING SIGNS
Time frames [Several decades / 20 years /2030]

Distributed energy design, a resource based self-staining economy, that will help us through the impending climatic changes.
I suspect and am hopeful that with your efforts both a model and sanctuary will manifest as we see the poles ice free, sea levels rise, food shortages, drought, flooding, all by 2030. The timing is NOW.  

Temperature changes of 3 degrees haven't happened in 3 million years. It could go to six degrees by the end of the century meaning certain extinction for our species.


  • If we don't change our direction dramatically by 2015 scientists state that changes will escalate automatically no matter what we do to change them.
  • Escalation will be by magnitudes, hurricanes, tornadoes, severe storms, drought, heat waves. 
  • The Power Grid is extremely sensitive: ie the capacitor failure on the E. coast, terrorist, weather, solar flares and so on are some of the hazards.



 A distributed power system grid could access unlimited energy where it is most needed. 

No longer soft energy but fed back into the grid from every household, every building on the planet through solar panels, heat pumps, wind and so on.

  • Europe is spending eight billion to develop just such a grid. 
  • We need to rebuild, retool every building that would capture 30% of carbon emissions.
  • There's the meat industry and methane, 
  • We've got to get off the pesticide, fertilizers, 
  • Use the waste efficiently, whether animal, human, garbage, etc.



NOTE: 

  • If CO2 and deforestation of the Amazon is not significantly altered in the next 10 years; then assume the worst case, since climate recovery takes decades longer even after we finally take action.
  • Watch when the two great ice masses formed over land melt that will increase sea level:


These are:

  • The Antarctic Ice Sheets breaking away.
  • Greenland ice sheets melting severely. 
  • 20' sea level increase
  • Watch for species die off
  • Forest Fire Increase
  • Severe weather storms; flooding, hurricanes, typhoons due to variances in land to sea temperatures.
  •  Pole Reversal
  •  CME's Coronal Mass Ejections


OTHER CONSIDERATIONS

Education - Intentional Communities - Energy

  1. Learn and acquire texts on health, medicine, gardening, permaculture, home maintenance, geography, biology, botany, auto mechanics, electrical, plumbing. 
  2. Learn how to make things from local resources: keywords: sustainability, living off the land, etc.
  3. Familiarize yourself with small sustainable coops, using wind, small hydro systems, solar, algae eating fish and so on.  www.onecommunityranch.com


A HOPEFUL FUTURE or NOT!
Even after we suffer a collapse of species, economies we will give rise new a new respect and greater awareness of our responsibility to each other and our planet. People are already shifting their consciousness beyond our media hyped imagery and ego-centrism to a more personal and rewarding focus stemming from our search to find ourselves.

This discovery will show us that we are not our careers, wealth or titles rather it is our infinitely expanding connectivity, of cause and effect, that we are not our thoughts or egos but something quite simple as being aware, conscious and giving grace for every moment, and realizing how sacred that truly is.

----written and composed by Vaughn Bresheare, Aug. 2008 - modified and edited by Climate Brink


Last edited by Climate Brink on Wed Aug 06, 2014 10:29 pm; edited 4 times in total
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Appalachia is GREAT!

Post by Microbrew on Thu Jul 24, 2014 5:10 pm

Lot's less rich people than Vermont and Maine!
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